Now that we’re at the halfway mark on the reviews front, Team Eurovision would like to pause for a minute, and ask just what is the possibility that:
1. A foreign language song will win this year’s contest?
It’s a tough one to call, to be honest. Not since Dana International swept to victory in 1998 with Diva, has a song in any language other than English taken the Eurovision title. And if you look at the favourites for this year – Greece, Norway, Malta, Iceland, Switzerland – they’re all sung in English too. Frankly we’re beginning to wonder whether a country can ever win Eurovision again with a song performed in their native tongue – but this year, thanks to Hungary’s very strong entry, there’s actually a possibility it could happen. We would also have put Croatia into this bracket, since it’s one of a handful of tunes which have really grown on us since initial listening – but since they plan to perform in English on the night, they don’t really count. Pity, really, since that song sounds so good in Croatian that we can’t help thinking it’ll lose something in translation.
2. A ballad will emerge victorious?
If you think it’s been a long time since a foreign language song won Eurovision, spare a thought for the humble ballad – the last one to score a victory was Norway’s Nocturne in 1995. (unless, as we’ve said before, you count Love Shine A Light as a ballad, and to be honest we don’t). There’s a few possibilities this year – Netherlands and Malta being the obvious choices – but collectively, the ballads just haven’t impressed us nearly as much as the uptempo tracks and ethnic tunes. The simple fact is, if a country wants to win Eurovision with a ballad again, they’re going to have to do a bit better than some of the old-fashioned, overwrought and frankly cheesy efforts that are on offer this year. A simple, gentle number like Serbia’s runner-up from 2004, or Belgium’s haunting folk song from 2003 would do nicely. So in answer to the question – we reckon this year is going to give us yet another uptempo winner. Prove us wrong, balladeers!
3. A contemporary pop song will triumph over the ethnic tunes?
An interesting one, this. Given the recent popularity of ethnic-flavoured pop at Eurovision (and the triumphs it scored for Turkey and Ukraine), it’s no surprise to see countries going back to their musical roots and coming up with all manner of Mediterranean, middle-eastern and Eastern European sounds. Hell, even the UK is having a bash at it with the Bollywood-esque Touch My Fire. Personally we like the fact that a whole range of diverse musical styles is creeping into the contest, but the question remains – are we in danger of ethnic overkill? After all, Cyprus, Spain, Albania, Turkey, Serbia and Greece, to name but a few, have ethnic-flavoured songs in the final already – while there’s plenty more in the semis, including Hungary, Croatia, Andorra and Poland (which Team Eurovision loves – watch out for a review in the next few days!). So we have to ask – when faced with such a cavalcade of exotic sounds, will the public be enthralled or will they be so overwhelmed by the sheer volume of ethnic pop that they’ll go back to basics and vote for something a little more conventional? If they do, it could spell good news for Iceland, Malta, Norway, Switzerland, or even Romania (which cleverly combines hi-energy dance with a smattering of ethnic pop) – but as with previous contests, a lot could be down to the performance on the night.
4. Sweden will be relegated to the semi-final?
Apart from the Big Four, Sweden remain the only country who have never actually been relegated from Eurovision – and so far they’ve also managed to avoid a brush with the semi-final. As we’ve said before, there’s a first time for everything – so what are the chances of it happening this year? Well, we’ve heard their effort, Martin Stenmarck’s Las Vegas – and although we’ll be posting a full review very soon, we can tell you that it’s frankly bizarre – a big, cheesy show tune that’s very different from the solid pop tunes they’re in the habit of sending to the contest. It could go one way or the other, we acknowledge that, (especially given the song’s potential for a colourful performance) – but the competition this year is fiercer than ever, thanks to some very strong songs in the semi-final. Now if we assume for one minute that none of the Big Four countries (UK, France, Spain and Germany) finish in the top ten – which is quite possible this year, given none of them is particularly strongly fancied – then Sweden would have to finish in the top ten to be guaranteed a place in next year’s final. Do we think they can do it? Well, it’s possible, but with a song that’s by no means a sure thing, and some very stiff competition, we have to say we’re really not sure. They have proved us wrong on numerous occasions in the past (notably with that ‘red Indian’ inspired number a few years back). But we still reckon they’re on fairly shaky ground this year.
5 . Cyprus and Greece will give their ‘douze points’ to other countries?
Now that’s just being silly.